Avatar 3, titled Fire and Ash, hit theaters on December 19, 2025, kicking off the holiday box office rush. Early predictions for its opening weekend from December 19 to 21 point to strong numbers around 92 to 98 million dollars domestically. One forecast from box office analyst Todd Thatcher sees it pulling in 98 million dollars right out of the gatehttps://toddmthatcher.com/2025/12/10/avatar-fire-and-ash-box-office-prediction/. Another estimate from BoxOfficeReport pegs it slightly lower at 92 million dollarshttp://www.boxofficereport.com/predictions/predictions20251218.html.
Fans know the Avatar series delivers big. The first film from 2009 shocked everyone by starting with 77 million dollars and growing to 785 million dollars in the US after re-releases, plus 2.9 billion dollars worldwidehttps://toddmthatcher.com/2025/12/10/avatar-fire-and-ash-box-office-prediction/. The 2022 sequel, The Way of Water, opened to 134 million dollars but kept earning through the holidays to hit 688 million dollars domestically and 2.3 billion dollars globallyhttps://toddmthatcher.com/2025/12/10/avatar-fire-and-ash-box-office-prediction/. Fire and Ash runs almost three hours and 20 minutes, directed by James Cameron with stars like Sam Worthington, Zoe Saldana, and Stephen Lang back in motion capture roles, plus new face Oona Chaplin as a villainhttps://toddmthatcher.com/2025/12/10/avatar-fire-and-ash-box-office-prediction/.
Going forward, experts expect Fire and Ash to follow the franchise pattern of a solid start followed by legs that stretch into the new year. It faces competition from films like David by Angel Studios this weekendhttp://www.boxofficereport.com/predictions/predictions20251218.html, but holiday crowds could push it higher. If it holds like its predecessors, totals might climb past a billion dollars worldwide over time, building on proven appeal.
Sources
https://toddmthatcher.com/2025/12/10/avatar-fire-and-ash-box-office-prediction/
http://www.boxofficereport.com/predictions/predictions20251218.html
