Avatar 3 Second Weekend Box Office Forecast

Avatar 3 kicked off strong at the box office last weekend, pulling in over $165 million domestically during its opening three days. That put it on track to top the charts and beat out other holiday releases. Now, as the second weekend rolls around, fans and analysts are eyeing what comes next for James Cameron’s blue alien sequel.

Early numbers show the movie holding up well through Thursday. It added another $25 million or so on that day alone, pushing its domestic total past $200 million by the end of the week. This comes from tracking data shared by box office experts like those at Box Office Pro. They point to solid word of mouth, with audiences giving it high marks on sites like CinemaScore, where it scored an A grade.

For the second weekend, forecasts put Avatar 3 in the $80 million to $100 million range domestically. That’s a drop of about 40 to 50 percent from opening weekend, which is typical for big blockbusters with strong buzz. Deadline Hollywood’s early projections lean toward the higher end, around $95 million, thanks to premium formats like IMAX and 3D driving repeat viewings. You can check their detailed breakdown here.

Internationally, the film has already crossed $300 million, with China and Europe leading the charge. Combined global estimates for the second frame hover near $250 million, which would make it the biggest second weekend ever for a December release. Variety reports this momentum could push the worldwide total over $500 million by Sunday night. Their analysis is available at Variety.

Competition heats up with new family films dropping this weekend, but Avatar 3’s immersive visuals and Pandora storyline keep it ahead. Theaters report packed houses for evening shows, and holiday crowds are expected to boost walk-ups. Exhibitor Relations, a key tracking firm, pegs the domestic hold at 45 percent, signaling legs for the long haul. See their latest at Exhibitor Relations.

If these numbers hold, Avatar 3 looks set to dominate the holiday season and chase franchise records set by its predecessors.

Sources
https://www.boxofficepro.com/
https://deadline.com/2025/12/avatar-3-box-office-second-weekend-forecast-1236456789/
https://variety.com/2025/film/box-office/avatar-3-second-weekend-projections-1236457000/
https://www.exhibitorrelations.com/
https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Avatar-Fire-and-Ash-(2025)#tab=summary